According to Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium, there is a higher possibility of a Democratic House take-over than most people think. He says that when districts are gerrymandered, as they certainly have been in many Republican-controlled states, independents are concentrated in the resulting Republican-majority districts. This means, for instance, that a 15 point lead in those districts for a Republican translates to no more than a 4-5% actual lead. He therefore recommends Democrats concentrate on districts with less than a 15% Republican lead. Such advice if followed has the potential to narrow this race.
You can fine more information here: Princeton Election Consortium .
You can fine more information here: Princeton Election Consortium .
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