Democrats Have a Better Chance Than Most Think for House Take-over: Princeton Scholar

According to Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium, there is a higher possibility of a Democratic House take-over than most people think.  He says that when districts are gerrymandered, as they certainly have been in many Republican-controlled states, independents are concentrated in the resulting Republican-majority districts.  This means, for instance, that a 15 point lead in those districts for a Republican translates to no more than a 4-5% actual lead.  He therefore recommends Democrats concentrate on districts with less than a 15% Republican lead.  Such advice if followed has the potential to narrow this race.

You can fine more information here:    Princeton Election Consortium  .